Solana ETF Approval Odds Surge to 93%: Market Reacts

Yoshi Ae

Key Takeaways

  • Bloomberg analysts have increased the probability of a U.S. spot Solana ETF approval to 93%, reflecting growing optimism in the crypto investment community.​
  • Major asset managers, including Franklin Templeton, VanEck, and 21Shares, have filed applications for Solana ETFs, signaling strong institutional interest.​
  • Solana’s price has experienced significant volatility, with recent declines attributed to broader market trends and specific challenges within the Solana ecosystem.​

Introduction

In a significant development for the cryptocurrency market, the likelihood of a U.S. spot Solana ETF approval has surged to 93%, according to Bloomberg analysts. This optimistic outlook reflects the increasing institutional interest in Solana and the broader acceptance of cryptocurrency-based investment products.​

Institutional Interest Intensifies

The growing confidence in Solana ETF approval is underscored by the actions of major financial institutions. Franklin Templeton recently filed an S-1 registration statement with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for a Solana ETF, aiming to track the performance of Solana’s price. Decrypt Similarly, VanEck and 21Shares have submitted applications, highlighting the strong institutional appetite for Solana-based investment vehicles.​

The Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) has also filed a 19b-4 form with the SEC to list and trade shares of the proposed Franklin Templeton Solana ETF. Decrypt These filings represent a concerted effort by financial institutions to offer investors regulated access to Solana, further legitimizing the asset in traditional financial markets.​

Market Dynamics and Price Volatility

Despite the positive sentiment surrounding ETF approvals, Solana’s price has experienced notable volatility. As of April 13, 2025, Solana is trading at approximately $128.46, reflecting a 4.41% increase from the previous close. This price movement is influenced by broader market trends and specific challenges within the Solana ecosystem.​

In February 2025, Solana’s price dropped to a four-month low of $132, down from its January peak of $293. This decline was attributed to a combination of factors, including decreased trading activity and concerns over certain projects within the Solana network.

SOL trading at $142 on the 1D chart | Source: SOLUSDT on Tradingview.com

Regulatory Landscape and Approval Odds

The increased probability of Solana ETF approval is partly due to a more favorable regulatory environment. Under the current administration, the SEC has shown a willingness to engage with cryptocurrency-related financial products. Analysts suggest that the SEC’s ongoing discussions with asset managers and the absence of significant enforcement actions against Solana are positive indicators for ETF approval. ​

However, it’s important to note that the SEC has previously classified Solana as a security, which could complicate the approval process. The outcome of ongoing legal discussions and the SEC’s final stance on Solana’s classification will be critical in determining the success of ETF applications. ​

Global Developments and Future Outlook

Internationally, Solana ETFs have already gained traction. Brazil’s securities regulator approved a Solana ETF in August 2024, setting a precedent for other countries. This global acceptance of Solana-based investment products adds momentum to the push for U.S. approval.​

Looking ahead, the approval of a U.S. spot Solana ETF could significantly impact the cryptocurrency market. It would provide investors with regulated exposure to Solana, potentially increasing liquidity and driving further adoption. As the SEC continues to evaluate the applications, market participants remain optimistic about the prospects of Solana ETFs becoming a reality in the near future.​


Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.

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